Short bio: Computer Scientist, FOSS supporter (read more)
Tux Machines (TM)-specific
Every time Microsoft introduces a new operating system we see the same reaction: before release the gentlemen of the PC press trumpet its wonderfulness, on release they talk about slow adoption and disappointed users looking for alternatives, and a bit later they quietly assume widespread acceptance, write a few articles illustrating the horrors of falling behind the upgrade curve, and start talking about how wonderful the next one will be.
With Vista, we're now getting into stage two with lots of people talking about high costs, slow implementation, limited take-up, and lovely little obstacles to use like a pseudo security system that conditions people to just say yes.
Fortunately, at least from Microsoft's perspective, this behaviour is predictable.
But that doesn't mean Unix proponents should give up - on the contrary.