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Windows' Endgame. Desktop Linux's Failure

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Linux
Microsoft

“After nearly a decade, Microsoft’s reign as a monopoly is over.” … “The latest real-world data on web usage confirms that Microsoft’s once-dominant position in the world of personal computing is crumbling.” That’s not me, the Linux guy speaking. No, that’s Ed Bott, who’s as much a Windows fan as I am a Linux fan. Ed’s the one, not me, who’s saying that “if Windows 8 flops on phones and tablets, Microsoft’s future is very dim indeed.”

Desktop Linux’s future isn’t any better. Windows isn’t declining because of Linux’s security or stability benefits. No, as Ed points out, it’s declining because of the rise of mobile computing. Apple’s iPhone and iPad are the ‘villians” in the mystery of who killing Windows. And, they’re also killing off the traditional desktop Linux.

When I say this though I don’t mean that Windows won’t still be on computers in 2021. It will be. What it won’t be though is the dominant computing platform.

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Windows Endgame

They said the same exact thing when Windows had the crappiest network setup ever, and Novell was the declared winner and king of the network world.

20 years later, where's Novell? Not even a rounding error in the Universe of Active Directory.

Just because Microsoft is late to the smartphone and tablet game doesn't mean they're out of the race. Microsoft is not only very patient, they're renown for starting slow, gaining momentum and market experience, and then rolling over any and all competitors on their way to market dominance.

Android might give them a run for their money (at least me and my Droid Incredible hopes so) - but the iPad/iPhone (made for iDiots), it's just another toy feeding the iTunes Store milking game.

circumstances are different

For one thing, m$ had a monopoly handed to them and since then, they leveraged that and aggressive marketing and arm-twisting partners to extend/maintain it.

Now we have google and apple. Both these cos are in strong financial position and have lots of cash, and they are after the same markets as m$. Bear in mind that these cos are CUTTING into m$'s established markets. m$ had pushed palm outta the smartphone market but apple and google came and pushed THEM outta the market. m$ is trying hard to buy into these markets but their competitors also have cash and more importantly, that allows them to not only innovate but innovate much faster, as m$'s competitors have ALWAYS done. Except this time around, they get to KEEP and BUILD on their innovations as apple has done time and again ( ipod beat out other mp3 players that were already there and were being pormoted by dell and other m$ stooges.

m$ cannot leverage their relationship with dell and the evershrinking winter cartel. In fact many of these are trying to move AWAY from their agenda ( HP has its own webOS) and even dell is selling more android models than windows mobile - when was the last time that was witnessed, as in never ?

So sure, m$ will throw money at co-opting and outmarketing competitors products but their competitotrs this time around are much stronger and can hold on to their gains.

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