Wall Street Beat: Ill winds for open source?
Red Hat Inc.'s woes this week raise the issue of whether IT investors are turning sour on open source. A somewhat disappointing forecast for the next quarter has investors fleeing, just as they have from the company's open-source rival, Novell Inc.
A close analysis of the situation, however, may give savvy investors -- and open-source advocates -- courage. Red Hat's problems are probably more short-lived than Novell's.
Red Hat investors are rattled: Company shares (RHAT) have lost almost US$5 in value over the last week, closing Thursday at $20.59, down $0.38 for the day. On Tuesday, Red Hat reported solid second-quarter earnings per share of $0.11, on revenue of $99.7 million. This beat expectations of analysts polled by Thomson First Call, of EPS of $0.10 on sales of $97.5 million. The problem was the company's forecast for next quarter: revenue of $103.5 million to $105.0 million, compared with the consensus estimate of $106 million.
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